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Friday, February 8, 2008

Maybe It's the Sun II

In a previous post, "Maybe It's The Sun, Impossible" ( http://dougreich.blogspot.com/2007/03/maybe-its-sun-impossible.html), I audaciously and boldly suggested that the Sun might have something to do with temperature on Earth

Ok, so let me get this straight. One would think that the SUN might have something to do with climate on Earth, right? And, scientists have found a high correlation between "solar variation and Earth climate", right? And, there is great debate between scientists who don't understand the cause of this correlation and admit that "such complex interactions are poorly understood but could be crucial to unlocking Earth's climatic puzzle", right? Yet, didn't they just release a study telling us that it almost beyond reasonable doubt that humans are causing global warming?

I submit that if climate scientists are still at the point of saying things like "I think the main question is, how does the sun [in general] act on climate? What are the processes that are going on in the Earth's atmosphere?" then perhaps we should have some skepticism as to the validity of their computer models which extrapolate their current understanding and attempt to predict the weather over the next 100 years!!!!!

I will put my prediction of what will happen to humans if we wreck the global economy against predictions based on these climate models anyday.

In that post, I linked to various studies that had shown a correlation between solar activity and temperature and that showed perhaps even Mars has been heating recently despite the fact that there are no SUV's, toilet paper, or Live Earth (I mean Live Mars) benefit concerts there. In my post "More Djembe Drum", I linked to an article about a Russian researcher's theory that we were close to a period of global cooling (http://dougreich.blogspot.com/2008/01/were-there-suvs-in-800-ad.html).

Here is another interesting editorial citing more evidence of the "hypothesis" that the Sun has more to do with warming than CO2 and that based on these theories we may be close to a period of global cooling:

Now, Canadian scientists are seeking additional funding for more and better "eyes" with which to observe our sun, which has a bigger impact on Earth's climate than all the tailpipes and smokestacks on our planet combined.

And they're worried about global cooling, not warming.

Kenneth Tapping, a solar researcher and project director for Canada's National Research Council, is among those looking at the sun for evidence of an increase in sunspot activity. Solar activity fluctuates in an 11-year cycle. But so far in this cycle, the sun has been disturbingly quiet. The lack of increased activity could signal the beginning of what is known as a Maunder Minimum, an event which occurs every couple of centuries and can last as long as a century. Such an event occurred in the 17th century. The observation of sunspots showed extraordinarily low levels of magnetism on the sun, with little or no 11-year cycle.

This solar hibernation corresponded with a period of bitter cold that began around 1650 and lasted, with intermittent spikes of warming, until 1715. Frigid winters and cold summers during that period led to massive crop failures, famine and death in Northern Europe. Tapping reports no change in the sun's magnetic field so far this cycle and warns that if the sun remains quiet for another year or two, it may indicate a repeat of that period of drastic cooling of the Earth, bringing massive snowfall and severe weather to the Northern Hemisphere.

Unfortunately, the environmentalist hysteria is already costing us. I showed in a previous post that uncertainty about government policy on bio-fuels is causing refiners to expand capacity more slowly leading to higher gas prices (http://dougreich.blogspot.com/2007/06/probe-of-probes.html). The push for agriculturally based fuels such as corn based ethanol is also increasing corn demand and pushing the price of grains through the roof. This will cause food prices to go higher. Here are charts for Wheat, Corn and Soybean futures in case you don't believe me:




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